Just like that, another PGA TOUR regular season has come and gone.
This week’s Wyndham Championship is the final event before the FedExCup Playoffs begin, and there is quite a bit on the line for some players.
The top dogs—guys like Scottie and Rory—can afford to take the week off. But only the top 70 players advance to the playoffs, which means there are always a handful of guys hovering just above or below that magic number.
We call them the Bubble Boys.
The FedExCup Playoffs may not carry the history or weight of the majors, but they still come with massive purses, valuable exemptions, and plenty of other perks.
That makes this week meaningful for the players, even though we all know nobody is going to ask them how many FedExCups they won when their careers are over.
This year, the list of guys on the bubble includes some notable names:
- Jackson Koivun
- Keegan Bradley
- Jason Day
- Brooks Koepka
- Tony Finau
Here’s what each player needs to do:
- Jackson Koivun basically needs to perform better than Mac Messnier, who is ranked 71st.
- Keegan Bradley needs a two-way tie for 38th or better.
- Jason Day needs a two-way tie for 12th or better.
- Brooks Koepka needs to finish solo fourth or better.
- Tony Finau needs a two-way tie for third or better.
Key Stats for the Wyndham Championship
- Prioritize putting and approach play. Strokes Gained: Putting has the strongest correlation with success here at 0.621, followed by Strokes Gained: Approach at 0.574.
- Accuracy matters far more than distance. Driving accuracy has a 0.336 correlation, while driving distance is nearly irrelevant at 0.034. Do not overvalue bombers this week.
- Target strong mid-iron players. More than 42% of approach shots come from 125–175 yards, making proximity and scoring performance from that range especially important.
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Weekly Bets: Wyndham Championship

We’ve partnered with Keith Stewart at Read The Line to share his weekly golf betting picks with the Caddyshanks crew.
If you’re the type who enjoys breaking down matchups, spotting trends, and hunting for value, you’ll feel right at home in the RTL community.
Use code CADDYSHANKS2026 for 20% off.
Keith Stewart’s Picks
Ben Griffin (+3300, FanDuel)
Bounce back, Ben Griffin? You bet.
Four of the last seven Wyndham winners—and eight of the last 20—have strong Carolina ties.
In four starts at Sedgefield, Griffin has finished T11, T7, missed cut, and fourth. The key to Ben’s success at this event is twofold.
First, Griffin is a great Bermudagrass player. Ranked second in the field on Bermuda greens and 16th in Strokes Gained: Putting, he has a serious edge.
The second is his approach play. Griffin is a master with a wedge in his hands on a positional layout where the driver is used less frequently.
Blades Brown (+6000, DraftKings)
There’s one more young star on the PGA TOUR ready for a breakout win, and that’s Blades Brown.
Brown is a scoring machine who already has six top-10 finishes across the Korn Ferry Tour and PGA TOUR this year. Two of those have come in his last two starts.
With only one finish worse than T22 in his last 11 tournaments, the consistency Blades has shown at 19 years old is extremely impressive.
If Gen Z is trending, Brown is definitely one of its generational players.
Caddyshanks Picks
Aaron Rai (+3100, DraftKings)
Rai won the PGA Championship back in May, finished 10th at the U.S. Open in June, and then missed the cut at both the Genesis Scottish Open and The Open.
He doesn’t exactly check the box for recent form, but he certainly checks the box for course fit.
He won here in 2024, and he is the most accurate driver in the field.
Brian Harman (+5900, DraftKings)
Harman hasn’t had the best year of his career, but he did have his best week of the season last week, so that’s something, right?
He is another accurate driver of the golf ball. While his approach play hasn’t been good enough overall this year, it has been strong on shorter approaches from the fairway.
He should have plenty of those opportunities on a shorter course this week.
Let’s just get this out of the way – my predictions last week couldn’t have been more wrong. They were bad – laughably bad, even. And let that be a lesson to all of us: never bet on England, or an Englishman, for anything. They’ll always come up short. Tommy Fleetwood, as kind and likable as he is, is sort of the poster child for the phenomenon, and I’m not sure what it will take for the English to break their funk. But the funk is real, it is ongoing, and hopefully the Gulf Stream keeps it on that side of the pond. Back to America we go.Quick 3M Open Preview
TPC Twin Cities is a far cry from the links golf we watched over the last two weeks, but they’re calling for some wind, and there is water on 15 of the 18 holes, so maybe the course will put up a little fight. With that being said, the wide fairways and benign rough set this course up to be a bit of a birdie fest, and it usually benefits the accurate drivers. Last year, Kurt Kitayama won with a score of 23-under. Right now, Vegas has the winning score line set at 261.5, which gives you an indication that scoring will likely end up in the 15- to 20-under range this year. Typically, the field for the 3M Open isn’t so top-heavy, but this year the world No. 1 is competing, and the odds reflect the disparity in talent. Scottie’s odds are just +250 to win, which, as you already know, is gross. Those are peak Tiger odds, despite the fact that he’s only won once this year. The next closest player on the odds board is Kurt Kitayama at +2500, but recent winner Tom Kim, along with major champions Hideki Matsuyama, Gary Woodland, and Lucas Glover, highlight the field.Key Stats For The 3M Open
- Prioritize accurate drivers over bombers. TPC Twin Cities has consistently favored players who keep the ball in play, and 2025 strongly rewarded driving accuracy. With water lurking throughout the course, avoiding penalty strokes is often more valuable than chasing extra distance.
- Target elite iron players. Nearly 40% of the scoring separation at TPC Twin Cities comes from approach play, making Strokes Gained: Approach one of the most predictive stats. Golfers flushing their irons tend to separate themselves here.
- Expect a birdie fest, not a survival test. TPC Twin Cities routinely plays well under par, and calm conditions can push winning scores into the 20-under range. Lean toward players with high Birdie or Better rates who can stay aggressive for four straight days.
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Weekly Bets: 3M Open
We’ve partnered with Keith Stewart at Read The Line to share his weekly golf betting picks with the Caddyshanks crew. If you’re the type who enjoys breaking down matchups, spotting trends, and hunting for value, you’ll feel right at home in the RTL community.
Use code CADDYSHANKS2026 for 20% OFF.
Keith Stewart’s Picks
Jackson Suber (+5000 BetMGM)
In his last seven starts, Jackson Suber has three top-6 finishes. In contention again at The Open Championship, it didn’t work out, but consider the moment. Suber has been great in these weaker-field events, gaining a ton of shots tee-to-green. That DNA is exactly what we need for the 3M. Compound his competitive play with a FedExCup rank of 79. Jackson can’t take a week off after The Open. Suber needs to push himself if he plans to make the playoffs.Max Homa (+6000 Fanatics)
Max Homa is gaining an average of 5.9 strokes on the field over his last five starts. Now Homa heads to a venue where he has played well. Max finished T3 here in 2020 and has played the weekend in every 3M start (3) of his career. When Homa is excelling tee-to-green, he keeps the ball in play, and that’s a major key at TPC Twin Cities. Positive vibes at this venue and a ball-striking trend that cannot be ignored. Looking for a former PGA TOUR winner with odds value in Minnesota? You’ll be happy with Homa.Caddyshanks Picks
Scottie Scheffler (+250 FanDuel)
The “bet Scottie every week” strategy will likely be unprofitable – I will go down with this ship.Emiliano Grillo (+10000 DraftKings)
Alright, there’s an element to this pick that is… unscientific. The man’s wife just gave birth to a baby boy, which is good vibes (see how well Sam Burns played last week?), and he has a history of playing well at this course specifically, with multiple top-10 finishes.Lucas Glover (+10000 FanDuel)
Lucas Glover has been heating up, with top-5 finishes in each of his last two starts, and the number on him provides a lot of value. I also love him as a Top 20 if you’re not feeling the outright market.Let’s be honest, we are all going to be too distracted while celebrating our nation’s 250th birthday this weekend to be watching the John Deere Classic.
4th of July weekend has got to be the worst spot in the entire golf schedule, there’s just too much going on to want to sit inside and watch low stakes golf.
I guess, what I am really trying to say, is that there’s never been a more obvious candidate for a Track 2 event, as the PGA TOUR makes sweeping changes to their schedule for 2028.
TPC Deere Run is usually a birdie-fest, with the average winning score around -20 for the last five years.
Who’s in the Field?
Of the top ten? Zero players.
But there are some notable names; Chris Gotterup, Max Homa, Rickie Fowler, and Tom Kim.
Here are the key stats for The John Deere Classic:
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Start with approach play. SG: Approach has the strongest correlation with SG: Total here at 0.646, so this is not the week to get cute with guys who are shaky with irons but “can get hot.” Prioritize players gaining with wedges and short irons.
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Putting matters more than usual because this turns into a birdie contest. The scoring average is 1.56 under par, GIR is high at 70.9%, and SG: Putting correlates strongly at 0.585. You need guys who can actually convert chances, not just hit 14 greens and make pars.
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Don’t overrate distance. SG: Off the Tee matters, but distance specifically only correlates at 0.114, while driving accuracy is much more relevant at 0.314. TPC Deere Run is more about keeping it in play, stuffing wedges, and making putts than overpowering the place.
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Weekly Bets: John Deere Classic

We’ve partnered with Keith Stewart at Read The Line to share his weekly golf betting picks with the Caddyshanks crew. If you’re the type who enjoys breaking down matchups, spotting trends, and hunting for value, you’ll feel right at home in the RTL community.
Use code CADDYSHANKS2026 for 20% OFF.
Keith Stewart’s Picks
Tom Kim (+3500 DraftKings)
When Tom Kim won at Sedgefield (2022) for his first PGA TOUR win, he entered the week at 35-1. The T2G play was excellent at that time, and his putter was doing electric Tom Kim things. Fast forward to the 2026 US Open, where Kim finished 3rd two weeks ago. A T15 in Canada and one of the PGA TOUR’s best accuracy merchants is ready for TPC Deere Run. A perfect fit, Kim can score and hit targets off the tee and on approach. Take the momentum from Shinnecock Hills and back Kim to continue putting himself in position to win.
Emiliano Grillo (+8400 DraftKings)
Argentina is definitely trending, and Lionel Messi is not their only national star competing this weekend. Emiliano Grillo finished T23 at the US Open and T20 the week before at the Canadian Open. The ball striking is positive, and now Grillo goes to a golf course where he has two runner-up finishes in his career (out of three starts). If creating birdie opportunities is the priority, then grab Grillo and get to the window, as this longshot has proven he can play TPC Deer Run effectively.
Caddyshanks Picks
Eric Cole (+2700 Draftkings)
As mentioned above, you’ve gotta be good with the flatstick to win a birdie-fest. Eric Cole ranks 8th in SG: Putt and he’s got four Top 10’s since April.
Sungjae Im (+4100 Draftkings)
Sungjae isn’t quite as good of a putter as Eric Cole (he’s 32nd on TOUR) but he’s good enough to make some birdies here, and the real stat to know for Sungjae is that he ranks 1st on TOUR on SG: APP inside 100 yards.
Chris Gotterup (+1400 Draftkings)
Sometimes, in a weak field, you just bet the player with the highest possible ceiling.
It’s a great week to be a golf fan.
The LPGA is at Riviera for the Women’s U.S. Open, and the TOUR is headed to Jack’s place, Muirfield Village, where Scottie Scheffler will look to three-peat.
He would be the first golfer since Tiger to do so at Muirfield, and the first since Steve Stricker at the John Deere Classic to win 3 TOUR events in a row.
The reason why he’s won at Muirfield twice in a row is because the course places a ton of emphasis on approach play, and there is no better player in the world over the last few years in that category than Scottie Scheffler.
Muirfield also penalizes missed fairways more than any other course on TOUR.
Not because it’s narrow, but because the rough is thick, which makes approach shots into the small, firm greens particularly difficult.
This course was designed by the ultimate ball-striker, Jack Nicklaus, so we will be looking to target elite iron players this week.
Who’s In The Field?
Scottie Scheffler leads a loaded field this week. It’s a signature event, and pretty much all of the top players on TOUR will be there, including 9 of the top 10.
Collin Morikawa and Viktor Hovland are the two biggest names who are OUT this week.
Here are the key stats for The Memorial Tournament:
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Build cards around elite approach players first. SG: Approach has the strongest correlation with SG: Total here at 0.612, well ahead of off-the-tee. Bettors should prioritize players gaining heavily with irons, especially those strong from 150–225+ yards, because Muirfield Village produces a lot of mid/long-iron approaches.
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Don’t overpay for pure bombers. Driving distance shows only a 0.061 correlation with total performance, while driving accuracy is more meaningful at 0.306. The course is long at 7,449 yards, but it also narrows fairways, suppresses driving distance, and penalizes missed fairways more than average. Favor “long enough and accurate” over reckless distance.
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Difficulty increases the value of bogey avoidance, short game, and putting floors. Scoring is tough at +1.38, GIR is only 55.5%, and penalty strokes are elevated. With SG: Putting at 0.506 and Around-the-Green at 0.455, this is not just a ball-striking event; players who can survive missed greens and avoid doubles should be upgraded for matchup, top-20, and cut-line markets.
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Weekly Bets: 50th Memorial Tournament
We’ve partnered with Keith Stewart at Read The Line to share his weekly golf betting picks with the Caddyshanks crew. If you’re the type who enjoys breaking down matchups, spotting trends, and hunting for value, you’ll feel right at home in the RTL community. Use code CADDYSHANKS2026 for 20% OFF.
Keith Stewart’s Picks
Si Woo Kim (+2200 BetMGM)
In his last eight starts at The Memorial, Si Woo Kim has GAINED with the putter six times! Probably Kim’s best career putting course, he is on an incredible heater T2G in 2026. Ranked third on the PGA TOUR, Si Woo is gaining an average of 1. 5 strokes per round over 53 measured rounds this year. Only Scottie Scheffler and Matt Fitzpatrick have been better. Fresh off gaining eight strokes with his flatstick at the CJ Cup, Kim can more than contend on a course that has been very good to him throughout his career.
Ben Griffin (+3900 DraftKings)
We all saw Ben Griffin come close to defending his title at the Charles Schwab. Walking the practice tee at Muirfield Village, Griffin looks really good. Ben is a player perfectly suited for Jack’s place. Well-rounded T2G and an excellent putter on super smooth surfaces, Griffin finished runner-up to Scottie Scheffler last year. Gaining more than 11 strokes on the field at The Memorial in 2025, this is a perfect example of form colliding with a confidence-producing venue.
Caddyshanks Picks
Scottie Scheffler (+310 Draftkings)
The “bet Scottie every week no matter what” strategy hasn’t worked out well so far this year, but he could turn that around easily this week.
Justin Thomas (+40000 Draftkings)
We tried our hand with betting JT last week and it didn’t work out for us, but he’s finding his form again and the win is going to come. Muirfield Village tends to let the cream rise to the top, we like JT to be hanging around come Sunday.
Sepp Straka (+6000 Draftkings)
Sepp has back-to-back Top 5’s at The Memorial, and the number on him this week is too good to resist, considering he’s in good form and has proven he can contend here.