It’s a great week to be a golf fan.

The LPGA is at Riviera for the Women’s U.S. Open, and the TOUR is headed to Jack’s place, Muirfield Village, where Scottie Scheffler will look to three-peat.

He would be the first golfer since Tiger to do so at Muirfield, and the first since Steve Stricker at the John Deere Classic to win 3 TOUR events in a row.

The reason why he’s won at Muirfield twice in a row is because the course places a ton of emphasis on approach play, and there is no better player in the world over the last few years in that category than Scottie Scheffler.

Muirfield also penalizes missed fairways more than any other course on TOUR.

Not because it’s narrow, but because the rough is thick, which makes approach shots into the small, firm greens particularly difficult.

This course was designed by the ultimate ball-striker, Jack Nicklaus, so we will be looking to target elite iron players this week.

Who’s In The Field?

Scottie Scheffler leads a loaded field this week. It’s a signature event, and pretty much all of the top players on TOUR will be there, including 9 of the top 10.

Collin Morikawa and Viktor Hovland are the two biggest names who are OUT this week.

Full Field

Here are the key stats for The Memorial Tournament:

• Build cards around elite approach players first. SG: Approach has the strongest correlation with SG: Total here at 0.612, well ahead of off-the-tee. Bettors should prioritize players gaining heavily with irons, especially those strong from 150–225+ yards, because Muirfield Village produces a lot of mid/long-iron approaches.

• Don’t overpay for pure bombers. Driving distance shows only a 0.061 correlation with total performance, while driving accuracy is more meaningful at 0.306. The course is long at 7,449 yards, but it also narrows fairways, suppresses driving distance, and penalizes missed fairways more than average. Favor “long enough and accurate” over reckless distance.

• Difficulty increases the value of bogey avoidance, short game, and putting floors. Scoring is tough at +1.38, GIR is only 55.5%, and penalty strokes are elevated. With SG: Putting at 0.506 and Around-the-Green at 0.455, this is not just a ball-striking event; players who can survive missed greens and avoid doubles should be upgraded for matchup, top-20, and cut-line markets.

The Details

Previous Winners

How To Watch

Featured Groups:

All Featured Groups Here

All weekend, we waited for someone to separate from the pack.

And at the start of play on Sunday, there were 11 major winners within 6 shots of the lead. Surely, one of them would step up, post a low score, and bring this thing home.

Well, none of the major winners in the field stepped up, but Aaron Rai, wearing two gloves, rocking iron covers, and using giant tees that he bought off an infomercial, certainly did.

And what’s truly incredible about his victory, is that in a world of ball rollback debates, set-up arguments, and distance, distance, distance – Aaron Rai just won a major as the 160th ranked driver on TOUR.

Aronimink was set up to reward driving accuracy over distance, and great putting.

Aaron Rai did both better than anyone in the field, and it allowed him the separate.

By the way, he was a 150-1 longshot.

What about everybody else?

Alex Smalley, who went into Sunday as the clubhouse leader, shot even par, and finished T2.

Jon Rahm, Rory McIlroy, Xander Schauffele, Justin Thomas, Cam Smith, and Ludvig Aberg all tried to make a push, but no one could gain ground on Rai’s back nine performance.

However, this week, I think we need to focus on what “everybody else” had to say about Aaron Rai. As it turns out, Rai has earned a ton of respect among his peers.

Xander on Aaron Rai: “Rarely do you feel like people work way harder than you …

“I feel like I’ve played a pretty good amount of time, and Aaron is always there. He’s always in the gym. He’s always on the range.

“At the Scottish, I’m staying right on site there. I thought it…

— Kyle Porter (@KylePorterNS) May 17, 2026

Massive congrats to Aaron Rai. Such a nice guy and hard worker. Makes me want to work harder, and makes me believe that I can win majors as well. – Michael Kim

You won’t find one person on property who’s not happy for him. – Rory McIlroy.

What’s Next?

Scottie Scheffler headlines the field at the CJ Cup Byron Nelson at TPC Craig Ranch.

Odds For TPC Craig Ranch

• Scottie Scheffler: +150

• Si Woo Kim: +1250

• Jordan Spieth: +2000

• Brooks Koepka: +2700

• Keith Mitchell: +3300

• Pierceson Coody: +4000

• Michael Thorbjornsen: +4100

• Aaron Rai: +4200

• Wyndham Clark: +4700

Weekly Bets: The Cadillac Championship

We’ve partnered with Keith Stewart at Read The Line to share his weekly golf betting picks with the Caddyshanks crew. If you’re the type who enjoys breaking down matchups, spotting trends, and hunting for value, you’ll feel right at home in the RTL community.

Keith Stewart’s Picks

Collin Morikawa (+2000 bet365)

The first player I looked for on property at Trump National Doral was Collin Morikawa. Since returning from his PLAYERS WD, Morikawa has finished T7 and T4. Is Collin healthy? Not only did he swing beautifully, but his driver speed looked fast, much quicker than in his last two starts. If you need one player to hit a 200-yard approach, I’m picking Morikawa. If Morikawa was contending with injury concerns, imagine how confident he will be swinging, not that he feels good!

Keegan Bradley (+6500 Caesars)

Keegan Bradley is one of the best mid- to long-iron players in the field. With the number of approaches around 200 yards during each round, Doral is playing right into the best part of Bradley’s game. A Southeast Florida resident, I don’t worry about the Bermudagrass or the short game. Twelfth at the RBC Heritage, Keegan has two top 8 finishes on the Blue Course in four starts. Bradley’s ball striking is solid in the wind, which is another characteristic I’m focusing on this week.

Caddyshanks Picks

Sam Burns (+3100 Draftkings)

Sam Burns has played quite well over the last 9 months, particularly with his approach play and putter, but he’s also got the length necessary to beat it around Doral.

Hideki Matsuyama (+3100 Draftkings)

If you’ve been reading this newsletter for awhile, you know I love betting Hideki, and you know it rarely ever works out for me, but we will always have that final round 62 to win the Genesis Invitational. He hasn’t won yet this year, but he will. He’s top 20 in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green, Approach and Around-the-Green.

Scottie Scheffler (+310 Draftkings)

Admittedly, the “bet Scottie every week no matter what” strategy hasn’t played out very well this season, but he’s averaging 5.1 birdies per round so far for the year – the best mark on TOUR. The wins are coming.

That’s all folks – see you next week for the Truist Championship.