Yesterday, Jackson Koivun won the 3M Open in dominant fashion at the ripe old age of 21.
In the process, he held off a Sunday charge from Scottie Scheffler, set the tournament scoring record at 25-under, and joined a very short list of the youngest winners in PGA TOUR history.
It was an incredible performance, and golf social media has been on fire talking about him.
A reminder that @DataGolf had Koivun ranked as their best amateur golfer since 2010 ahead of some massive, massive names.
Now a win by 3 shots in his 3rd pro start as a 21 year old.
And by 5 shots over everyone that isn’t the number one player in the world.
SHEESH. pic.twitter.com/f9rXI3fto1
— No Laying Up (@NoLayingUp) July 26, 2026
If you’re a casual golf fan, you’d be forgiven for thinking he’s already been anointed as the next “chosen one.”
The truth is, nobody knows.
Sports fans love fortune telling. We love believing we can spot greatness before everyone else. Sometimes we can.
If you watched Derrick Henry run over high school defenders, you knew he was going pro one day. LeBron James was on national television before he could legally buy a lottery ticket. Bryce Harper landed on the cover of Sports Illustrated at 16.
But there are plenty of times when fans and prognosticators get it wrong.
For every LeBron, there’s a Greg Oden. For every Bryce Harper, there’s a Todd Marinovich. For every can’t-miss prospect who becomes exactly what everyone expected, there are dozens who looked every bit as inevitable… until they weren’t.
Golf is no different.
Peter Uihlein was the No. 1 amateur in the world for longer than several eventual PGA TOUR winners. After winning the U.S. Amateur in 2010, many people thought he was the next great American star.
He’s never won on the PGA TOUR.
Matthew Wolff looked destined to become one of the game’s biggest names after winning on TOUR at 20 and finishing runner-up in both the U.S. Open and PGA Championship before turning 22.
Today, he’s trying to rebuild his career.
Even Jordan Spieth reminds us how dangerous expectations can be, to a certain degree.
Spieth won on the PGA TOUR at 19. By 23, he had already won three majors.
At the time, it felt almost impossible that he’d go through the next decade without adding another one.
Yet here we are.
Today is Spieth’s 33rd birthday, and those three majors are still the only ones on his résumé.
Golf has a funny way of humbling predictions. So, we won’t make any about Jackson Koivun.
Jackson Koivun might become the next Tiger Woods.
He might become the next Jordan Spieth.
He might become the next Peter Uihlein.
Or he might carve out an entirely different career that none of us could possibly predict today.
The only thing we know for sure is this:
Winning a PGA TOUR event at 21 while staring down Scottie Scheffler is ridiculously impressive.
What’s Next?
The Rocket Mortgage Classic, which has a loaded field this year.
Rocket Mortgage Classic Odds
- Cameron Young (+1000)
- Xander Schauffele (+1650)
- Chris Gotterup (+1800)
- Si Woo Kim (+1850)
- Wyndham Clark (+1850)
- Patrick Cantlay (+2150)
- Jackson Koivun (+2300)
- Russell Henley (+2400)
- Ben Griffin (+2800)
- J.J. Spaun (+3400)
Quick 3M Open Preview
TPC Twin Cities is a far cry from the links golf we watched over the last two weeks, but they’re calling for some wind, and there is water on 15 of the 18 holes, so maybe the course will put up a little fight. With that being said, the wide fairways and benign rough set this course up to be a bit of a birdie fest, and it usually benefits the accurate drivers. Last year, Kurt Kitayama won with a score of 23-under. Right now, Vegas has the winning score line set at 261.5, which gives you an indication that scoring will likely end up in the 15- to 20-under range this year. Typically, the field for the 3M Open isn’t so top-heavy, but this year the world No. 1 is competing, and the odds reflect the disparity in talent. Scottie’s odds are just +250 to win, which, as you already know, is gross. Those are peak Tiger odds, despite the fact that he’s only won once this year. The next closest player on the odds board is Kurt Kitayama at +2500, but recent winner Tom Kim, along with major champions Hideki Matsuyama, Gary Woodland, and Lucas Glover, highlight the field.Key Stats For The 3M Open
- Prioritize accurate drivers over bombers. TPC Twin Cities has consistently favored players who keep the ball in play, and 2025 strongly rewarded driving accuracy. With water lurking throughout the course, avoiding penalty strokes is often more valuable than chasing extra distance.
- Target elite iron players. Nearly 40% of the scoring separation at TPC Twin Cities comes from approach play, making Strokes Gained: Approach one of the most predictive stats. Golfers flushing their irons tend to separate themselves here.
- Expect a birdie fest, not a survival test. TPC Twin Cities routinely plays well under par, and calm conditions can push winning scores into the 20-under range. Lean toward players with high Birdie or Better rates who can stay aggressive for four straight days.
The Details
Previous Winners
How To Watch
Featured Groups
More Details Here
Weekly Bets: 3M Open
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